Severe Lake Heatwaves Attributable to Human-Induced Global Warming

Iestyn Woolway, Clement Albergel, Thomas Froelicher, Marjorie Perroud

Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolynErthygladolygiad gan gymheiriaid

148 Wedi eu Llwytho i Lawr (Pure)

Crynodeb

Much of the focus of global warming impacts on lakes have focused on changes in mean temperature. However, lakes are also highly vulnerable to thermal extremes. Such extremes occur, by definition, during lake heatwaves. Heatwaves in lakes have occurred globally in recent decades and have had severe negative impacts. However, unlike their atmospheric counterparts, it is currently unknown to what extent lake heatwaves are altered by human-induced climate change. Here, we estimate the human contribution to lake heatwaves, specifically focusing on the most severe events. We demonstrate that the occurrence probabilities of severe lake heatwaves increase substantially due to human influence. Our analysis suggests that 94% of severe heatwaves observed during the satellite data-taking period have an anthropogenic contribution. Globally, we suggest that severe heatwaves are 3 and 25- times more likely in a 1.5°C and 3.5°C warmer world, respectively, compared to a world without anthropogenic influence.
Iaith wreiddiolSaesneg
Rhif yr erthygle2021GL097031
Nifer y tudalennau10
CyfnodolynGeophysical Research Letters
Cyfrol49
Rhif cyhoeddi4
Dyddiad ar-lein cynnar24 Chwef 2022
Dynodwyr Gwrthrych Digidol (DOIs)
StatwsCyhoeddwyd - 28 Chwef 2022

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