The demographic transition and stagnation in countries vulnerable to climate change

Chrysovalantis Vasilakis; Thang  Dao

doi:10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105141

The demographic transition and stagnation in countries vulnerable to climate change

Chrysovalantis Vasilakis
, Thang Dao

Ysgol Busnes Albert Gubay

University of Roehampton

Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolyn › Erthygl › adolygiad gan gymheiriaid

1 Wedi eu Llwytho i Lawr (Pure)

Crynodeb

Climate change, environmental degradation, and high population growth can trap Sub-Saharan Africa in prolonged economic stagnation. We develop a novel theoretical framework showing how climate-induced resource depletion increases women's time spent collecting essentials like water and firewood, reducing investment in girls' education. This perpetuates gender inequality in education and income, slowing fertility decline and reinforcing population growth. A larger population further degrades resources, creating a feedback loop of stagnation. Empirical analysis of 44 African countries (1960 - 2017) supports these findings, revealing adverse climate effects on local resources and education gaps. Addressing these interconnected challenges is critical to breaking the stagnation cycle and fostering sustainable development.

Iaith wreiddiol	Saesneg
Rhif yr erthygl	105141
Cyfnodolyn	Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Cyfrol	178
Dyddiad ar-lein cynnar	8 Gorff 2025
Dynodwyr Gwrthrych Digidol (DOIs)	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105141
Statws	Cyhoeddwyd - 3 Medi 2025

NDC y CU

Mae’r allbwn hwn yn cyfrannu at y Nod(au) Datblygu Cynaliadwy canlynol

NDC 5 Cydraddoldeb Rhywiol
NDC 10 Llai o Anghydraddoldeb
NDC 13 Gweithredu ar y Newid yn yr Hinsawdd

Mynediad at Ddogfen

10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105141Trwydded: CC BY

1-s2.0-S0165188925001071-mainFersiwn derfynol wedi’i chyhoeddi, 2.34 MBTrwydded: CC BY

Dogfen dan Embargo

Dao_et_al_2022_FertilityAfrica_9_
Llawysgrif awdur wedi’i dderbyn, 1.99 MB
Trwydded: CC BY-NC-ND
Embargo yn dod i ben: 8/07/27

Dyfynnu hyn

@article{063edaba29964076944919e0243903f3,

title = "The demographic transition and stagnation in countries vulnerable to climate change",

abstract = "Climate change, environmental degradation, and high population growth can trap Sub-Saharan Africa in prolonged economic stagnation. We develop a novel theoretical framework showing how climate-induced resource depletion increases women's time spent collecting essentials like water and firewood, reducing investment in girls' education. This perpetuates gender inequality in education and income, slowing fertility decline and reinforcing population growth. A larger population further degrades resources, creating a feedback loop of stagnation. Empirical analysis of 44 African countries (1960 - 2017) supports these findings, revealing adverse climate effects on local resources and education gaps. Addressing these interconnected challenges is critical to breaking the stagnation cycle and fostering sustainable development.",

author = "Chrysovalantis Vasilakis and Thang Dao",

year = "2025",

month = sep,

day = "3",

doi = "10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105141",

language = "English",

volume = "178",

journal = "Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control",

issn = "0165-1889",

publisher = "Elsevier BV",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - The demographic transition and stagnation in countries vulnerable to climate change

AU - Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis

AU - Dao, Thang

PY - 2025/9/3

Y1 - 2025/9/3

N2 - Climate change, environmental degradation, and high population growth can trap Sub-Saharan Africa in prolonged economic stagnation. We develop a novel theoretical framework showing how climate-induced resource depletion increases women's time spent collecting essentials like water and firewood, reducing investment in girls' education. This perpetuates gender inequality in education and income, slowing fertility decline and reinforcing population growth. A larger population further degrades resources, creating a feedback loop of stagnation. Empirical analysis of 44 African countries (1960 - 2017) supports these findings, revealing adverse climate effects on local resources and education gaps. Addressing these interconnected challenges is critical to breaking the stagnation cycle and fostering sustainable development.

AB - Climate change, environmental degradation, and high population growth can trap Sub-Saharan Africa in prolonged economic stagnation. We develop a novel theoretical framework showing how climate-induced resource depletion increases women's time spent collecting essentials like water and firewood, reducing investment in girls' education. This perpetuates gender inequality in education and income, slowing fertility decline and reinforcing population growth. A larger population further degrades resources, creating a feedback loop of stagnation. Empirical analysis of 44 African countries (1960 - 2017) supports these findings, revealing adverse climate effects on local resources and education gaps. Addressing these interconnected challenges is critical to breaking the stagnation cycle and fostering sustainable development.

U2 - 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105141

DO - 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105141

M3 - Article

SN - 0165-1889

VL - 178

JO - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

JF - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

M1 - 105141

ER -

The demographic transition and stagnation in countries vulnerable to climate change

Crynodeb

NDC y CU

Mynediad at Ddogfen

Dogfen dan Embargo

Ôl bys

Dyfynnu hyn