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Confidently Wrong, Persuasively Right? Exploring Individual Influence in Team Decision-Making Dynamics

Activity: Talk or presentationOral presentation

Description

Social perception plays a central role in group dynamics, where status, assertiveness, and perceived credibility can significantly shape group outcomes. In particular, confidence is often used by others as a heuristic for correctness, despite being only modestly correlated with actual accuracy. Our study examined individual influence within team-based decision-making and its associations with social perceptions, competence, confidence, and metaperceptive insight. A total of 356 participants were assigned to 111 teams and completed a two-phase fluid reasoning task based on Raven-like matrices. Participants first responded individually and then collaborated to provide team answers. Influence was defined as the extent to which a participant’s individual response matched the final team decision. Participants also provided self-ratings and were rated by teammates across four social attributes: warmth, competence, leadership, and team contribution. Metaperceptive insight was calculated as the accuracy of participants’ perceptions of how others viewed them. Influence was further categorized by correctness and the presence or absence of group consensus. We hypothesized that participants with greater metaperceptive insight would exert more influence, particularly when their initial answers were incorrect but ultimately accepted by the group. More broadly, the study aimed to assess whether perceived credibility and social alignment play a more substantial role in influence than actual task performance.
Period25 Jun 2025
Held atSchool of Psychology & Sport Science
Degree of RecognitionLocal

Keywords

  • influence
  • Confidence
  • insight
  • Competence