Climate velocity in inland standing waters

Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolynErthygladolygiad gan gymheiriaid

Fersiynau electronig

Dangosydd eitem ddigidol (DOI)

Inland standing waters are particularly vulnerable to increasing water temperature. Here, using a high-resolution numerical model, we find that the velocity of climate change in the surface of inland standing waters globally was 3.5 ± 2.3 km per decade from 1861 to 2005, which is similar to, or lower than, rates of active dispersal of some motile species. However, from 2006 to 2099, the velocity of climate change will increase to 8.7 ± 5.5 km per decade under a low-emission pathway such as Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 or 57.0 ± 17.0 km per decade under a high-emission pathway such as RCP 8.5, meaning that the thermal habitat in inland standing waters will move faster than the ability of some species to disperse to cooler areas. The fragmented distribution of standing waters in a landscape will restrict redistribution, even for species with high dispersal ability, so that the negative consequences of rapid warming for freshwater species are likely to be much greater than in terrestrial and marine realms.
Iaith wreiddiolSaesneg
Tudalennau (o-i)1124-U91
CyfnodolynNature Climate Change
Cyfrol10
Rhif y cyfnodolyn12
Dyddiad ar-lein cynnar21 Medi 2020
Dynodwyr Gwrthrych Digidol (DOIs)
StatwsCyhoeddwyd - 1 Rhag 2020

Gweithgareddau a dyfarniadau proffesiynol (1)

Gweld y cyfan

Gweld graff cysylltiadau