Porth Ymchwil

Extinction risk from climate change

Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolyn › Erthygl › adolygiad gan gymheiriaid

StandardStandard

Extinction risk from climate change. / Thomas, C.D.; Cameron, Alison; Green, R.E. et al.
Yn: Nature, Cyfrol 427, Rhif 6970, 08.02.2004, t. 145-148.

Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolyn › Erthygl › adolygiad gan gymheiriaid

HarvardHarvard

Thomas, CD, Cameron, A, Green, RE, Bakkenes, B, Beaumont, LJ, Collingham, YC, Erasmus, BFN, Ferriera De Siqueira, M, Grainger, A, Hannah, L, Hughes, L, Huntley, B, Van Jaarsveld, AS, Midgley, GF, Miles, L, Ortega-Huerta, MA, Peterson, AT, Phillips, OL & Williams, SE 2004, 'Extinction risk from climate change', Nature, cyfrol. 427, rhif 6970, tt. 145-148. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02121

APA

Thomas, C. D., Cameron, A., Green, R. E., Bakkenes, B., Beaumont, L. J., Collingham, Y. C., Erasmus, B. F. N., Ferriera De Siqueira, M., Grainger, A., Hannah, L., Hughes, L., Huntley, B., Van Jaarsveld, A. S., Midgley, G. F., Miles, L., Ortega-Huerta, M. A., Peterson, A. T., Phillips, O. L., & Williams, S. E. (2004). Extinction risk from climate change. Nature, 427(6970), 145-148. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02121

CBE

Thomas CD, Cameron A, Green RE, Bakkenes B, Beaumont LJ, Collingham YC, Erasmus BFN, Ferriera De Siqueira M, Grainger A, Hannah L, et al. 2004. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature. 427(6970):145-148. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02121

MLA

Thomas, C.D. et al. "Extinction risk from climate change". Nature. 2004, 427(6970). 145-148. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02121

VancouverVancouver

Thomas CD, Cameron A, Green RE, Bakkenes B, Beaumont LJ, Collingham YC et al. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature. 2004 Chw 8;427(6970):145-148. doi: 10.1038/nature02121

Author

Thomas, C.D. ; Cameron, Alison ; Green, R.E. et al. / Extinction risk from climate change. Yn: Nature. 2004 ; Cyfrol 427, Rhif 6970. tt. 145-148.

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Extinction risk from climate change

AU - Thomas, C.D.

AU - Cameron, Alison

AU - Green, R.E.

AU - Bakkenes, B.

AU - Beaumont, L.J.

AU - Collingham, Y.C.

AU - Erasmus, B.F.N.

AU - Ferriera De Siqueira, M.

AU - Grainger, A.

AU - Hannah, L.

AU - Hughes, L.

AU - Huntley, B.

AU - Van Jaarsveld, A.S.

AU - Midgley, G.F.

AU - Miles, L.

AU - Ortega-Huerta, M.A.

AU - Peterson, A.T.

AU - Phillips, O.L.

AU - Williams, S.E.

PY - 2004/2/8

Y1 - 2004/2/8

N2 - Climate change over the past ,30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species1,2 and has been implicated in one species-level extinction3. Using projections of species’ distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth’s terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a powerlaw relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15–37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be ‘committed to extinction’. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction (,18%) than mid-range (,24%) and maximum change (,35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse

AB - Climate change over the past ,30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species1,2 and has been implicated in one species-level extinction3. Using projections of species’ distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth’s terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a powerlaw relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15–37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be ‘committed to extinction’. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction (,18%) than mid-range (,24%) and maximum change (,35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse

U2 - 10.1038/nature02121

DO - 10.1038/nature02121

M3 - Article

VL - 427

SP - 145

EP - 148

JO - Nature

JF - Nature

SN - 0028-0836

IS - 6970

ER -