Forecasting Multivariate Time Series with the Theta Method
Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolyn › Erthygl › adolygiad gan gymheiriaid
Fersiynau electronig
Dangosydd eitem ddigidol (DOI)
In this study building on earlier work on the properties and performance of the univariate Theta method for a unit root data-generating process we: (a) derive new theoretical formulations for the application of the method on multivariate time series; (b) investigate the conditions for which the multivariate Theta method is expected to forecast better than the univariate one; (c) evaluate through simulations the bivariate form of the method; and (d) evaluate this latter model in real macroeconomic and financial time series. The study provides sufficient empirical evidence to illustrate the suitability of the method for vector forecasting; furthermore it provides the motivation for further investigation of the multivariate Theta method for higher dimensions
Iaith wreiddiol | Saesneg |
---|---|
Tudalennau (o-i) | 220-229 |
Cyfnodolyn | Journal of Forecasting |
Cyfrol | 34 |
Rhif y cyfnodolyn | 3 |
Dynodwyr Gwrthrych Digidol (DOIs) | |
Statws | Cyhoeddwyd - 26 Chwef 2015 |