Investors’ heterogeneous beliefs and the impact of sovereign credit ratings in foreign exchange and equity markets
Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolyn › Erthygl › adolygiad gan gymheiriaid
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Yn: European Journal of Finance, Cyfrol 25, Rhif 13, 02.09.2019, t. 1211-1233.
Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolyn › Erthygl › adolygiad gan gymheiriaid
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Investors’ heterogeneous beliefs and the impact of sovereign credit ratings in foreign exchange and equity markets
AU - Tran, Vu
AU - Alsakka, Rasha
AU - ap Gwilym, Owain
N1 - 2019 Taylor & Francis. This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Taylor & Francis via https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2019.1586743.
PY - 2019/9/2
Y1 - 2019/9/2
N2 - We propose a model in which sovereign credit news from multiple rating agencies interacts with market heterogeneity. The model illustrates that the first messenger discloses new information while additional messengers play an important role of coordinating heterogeneous beliefs. Empirical investigations based on sovereign credit ratings, foreign exchange and equity markets confirm that rating news coordinates investors’ beliefs. Sovereign credit rating news from both types of messenger induces a significant impact on exchange rates and stock indices. Volatility measures increase in response to news from the first messenger while ex-post volatility reduces following news from an additional messenger.
AB - We propose a model in which sovereign credit news from multiple rating agencies interacts with market heterogeneity. The model illustrates that the first messenger discloses new information while additional messengers play an important role of coordinating heterogeneous beliefs. Empirical investigations based on sovereign credit ratings, foreign exchange and equity markets confirm that rating news coordinates investors’ beliefs. Sovereign credit rating news from both types of messenger induces a significant impact on exchange rates and stock indices. Volatility measures increase in response to news from the first messenger while ex-post volatility reduces following news from an additional messenger.
KW - Sovereign credit ratings
KW - information content
KW - market heterogeneity
KW - price volatility
U2 - 10.1080/1351847X.2019.1586743
DO - 10.1080/1351847X.2019.1586743
M3 - Article
VL - 25
SP - 1211
EP - 1233
JO - European Journal of Finance
JF - European Journal of Finance
SN - 1351-847X
IS - 13
ER -