TY - JOUR

T1 - Postglacial recolonization of the Southern Ocean by elephant seals occurred from multiple glacial refugia

AU - Berg, Andrew

AU - Askew, Megan

AU - Seersholm, Frederik

AU - Verry, Alexander

AU - Hoelzel, Rus

AU - Welch, Andreanna

AU - Greig, Karen

AU - Walter, Richard

AU - Knapp, Michael

AU - Barlow, Axel

AU - Paijmans, Johanna

AU - Waters, Jonathan

AU - Bunce, Michael

AU - McDonald, Kate

AU - O’Connor, Sue

AU - Hall, Brenda

AU - Koch, Paul

AU - Baroni, Carlo

AU - Salvatore, Maria

AU - Faulkner, Patrick

AU - Ho, Simon

AU - Rawlence, Nicolas

AU - de Bruyn, Mark

PY - 2024/12/6

Y1 - 2024/12/6

N2 - The Southern Ocean is warming more rapidly than other parts of our planet. How this region’s endemic biodiversity will respond to such changes can be illuminated by studying past events, through genetic analyses of time-series data sets including historic and fossil remains. Archaeological and subfossil remains show that the southern elephant seal ( Mirounga leonina ) was common along the coasts of Australia and New Zealand in the recent past. This species is now mostly confined to sub-Antarctic islands and the southern tip of South America. We analysed ancient seal samples from Australia (Tasmania), New Zealand, and the Antarctic mainland to examine how southern elephant seals have responded to a changing climate and anthropogenic pressures during the Holocene. Our analyses show that these seals formed part of a broader Australasian lineage, comprising seals from all sampled locations from the south Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. Our study demonstrates that southern elephant seal populations have dynamically altered both range and population sizes under climatic and human pressures, over surprisingly short evolutionary timeframes for such a large, long-lived mammal. Significance Statement Genetic data, alongside historic, archaeological, and subfossil remains show that Australasian populations of the southern elephant seal have been shaped by range expansions and contractions following the Last Glacial Maximum, with subsequent contractions during the late Holocene. These expansion and contraction events are likely to have been a direct result of climate change-induced habitat expansion and contraction, along with Indigenous and European sealing. Prehistoric climate change and more recent human pressures have substantially altered the geographic distribution and population size of southern elephant seals over short evolutionary timescales

AB - The Southern Ocean is warming more rapidly than other parts of our planet. How this region’s endemic biodiversity will respond to such changes can be illuminated by studying past events, through genetic analyses of time-series data sets including historic and fossil remains. Archaeological and subfossil remains show that the southern elephant seal ( Mirounga leonina ) was common along the coasts of Australia and New Zealand in the recent past. This species is now mostly confined to sub-Antarctic islands and the southern tip of South America. We analysed ancient seal samples from Australia (Tasmania), New Zealand, and the Antarctic mainland to examine how southern elephant seals have responded to a changing climate and anthropogenic pressures during the Holocene. Our analyses show that these seals formed part of a broader Australasian lineage, comprising seals from all sampled locations from the south Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. Our study demonstrates that southern elephant seal populations have dynamically altered both range and population sizes under climatic and human pressures, over surprisingly short evolutionary timeframes for such a large, long-lived mammal. Significance Statement Genetic data, alongside historic, archaeological, and subfossil remains show that Australasian populations of the southern elephant seal have been shaped by range expansions and contractions following the Last Glacial Maximum, with subsequent contractions during the late Holocene. These expansion and contraction events are likely to have been a direct result of climate change-induced habitat expansion and contraction, along with Indigenous and European sealing. Prehistoric climate change and more recent human pressures have substantially altered the geographic distribution and population size of southern elephant seals over short evolutionary timescales

M3 - Article

JO - Global Change Biology

JF - Global Change Biology

SN - 1365-2486

ER -