Structural Breaks in the International Dynamics of Inflation

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  • Erdenebat Bataa
    National University of Mongolia
  • Denise R Osborn
    University of Manchester
  • Marianne Sensier
    University of Manchester
  • Dick Van Dijk
    Erasmus University Rotterdam
This paper proposes an iterative procedure to discriminate between structural breaks in the coefficients and the disturbance covariance matrix of a system of equations, with recursive procedures then identifying individual coefficient shifts and separating volatility from correlation breaks. Structural breaks in short-term cross-country inflation relations are then examined for major G-7 economies and within the euro area. There is evidence that the euro area leads inflation in North America, while changing short-term interactions apply within the euro area. Covariability generally increases from the late 1990s, while euro-area countries move from essentially idiosyncratic contemporaneous variation to comovement in the 1980s.
Iaith wreiddiolSaesneg
Tudalennau (o-i)646-659
CyfnodolynReview of Economics and Statistics
Cyfrol95
Rhif y cyfnodolyn2
Dynodwyr Gwrthrych Digidol (DOIs)
StatwsCyhoeddwyd - 1 Mai 2013
Cyhoeddwyd yn allanolIe
Gweld graff cysylltiadau