Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management

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Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management. / Robins, Peter; Davies, Alan; Jones, Rod.
In: Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management, Vol. 15, No. 1, 01.03.2011, p. 1-14.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

HarvardHarvard

Robins, P, Davies, A & Jones, R 2011, 'Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management', Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 1-14.

APA

Robins, P., Davies, A., & Jones, R. (2011). Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management. Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management, 15(1), 1-14.

CBE

Robins P, Davies A, Jones R. 2011. Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management. Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management. 15(1):1-14.

MLA

Robins, Peter, Alan Davies and Rod Jones. "Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management". Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management. 2011, 15(1). 1-14.

VancouverVancouver

Robins P, Davies A, Jones R. Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management. Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management. 2011 Mar 1;15(1):1-14. Epub 2010 Aug 10.

Author

Robins, Peter ; Davies, Alan ; Jones, Rod. / Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management. In: Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management. 2011 ; Vol. 15, No. 1. pp. 1-14.

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Application of a coastal model to simulate present and future inundation and aid coastal management

AU - Robins, Peter

AU - Davies, Alan

AU - Jones, Rod

PY - 2011/3/1

Y1 - 2011/3/1

N2 - This paper describes the application of coastal hydro-informatic modelling (using the TELEMAC Modelling System) to address management issues arising from projected hydrodynamical and morphological changes within a shallow, sandy estuarine environment. The model incorporates the complex interaction of ocean, terrestrial and atmospheric processes. The case study of the Dyfi Estuary, on the west coast of Wales, is highlighted here. As sea levels have risen locally and are predicted to rise further, a National Nature Reserve (Borth Bog), which has been reclaimed from tidal waters by embankments, will be at increasing risk from flooding episodes due to overtopping of these embankments at high tide. Present and predicted future tidal-fluvial scenarios have been modelled in the Dyfi Estuary in order to estimate the potential for flooding. In addition, areas of greatest velocity change and potential for sediment erosion/accretion have been identified. A further process that has been investigated is how salt marsh migration is affected by sea-level rise. This case study exemplifies some fundamental and complex physical processes inherent to estuaries, and shows how different management options can be assessed, before their implementation, through a modelling approach.

AB - This paper describes the application of coastal hydro-informatic modelling (using the TELEMAC Modelling System) to address management issues arising from projected hydrodynamical and morphological changes within a shallow, sandy estuarine environment. The model incorporates the complex interaction of ocean, terrestrial and atmospheric processes. The case study of the Dyfi Estuary, on the west coast of Wales, is highlighted here. As sea levels have risen locally and are predicted to rise further, a National Nature Reserve (Borth Bog), which has been reclaimed from tidal waters by embankments, will be at increasing risk from flooding episodes due to overtopping of these embankments at high tide. Present and predicted future tidal-fluvial scenarios have been modelled in the Dyfi Estuary in order to estimate the potential for flooding. In addition, areas of greatest velocity change and potential for sediment erosion/accretion have been identified. A further process that has been investigated is how salt marsh migration is affected by sea-level rise. This case study exemplifies some fundamental and complex physical processes inherent to estuaries, and shows how different management options can be assessed, before their implementation, through a modelling approach.

KW - Dyfi Estuary . Model . Flooding . Sediment transport . Sea-level rise . Climate change . Coastal management

M3 - Article

VL - 15

SP - 1

EP - 14

JO - Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management

JF - Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management

IS - 1

ER -