Climate change drives widespread shifts in lake thermal habitat

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  • Benjamin M. Kraemer
    Leibniz Institute for Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Berlin
  • Rachel M. Pilla
    University of Miami
  • R. Iestyn Woolway
  • Orlane Anneville
    University Savoie Mont Blanc
  • Syuhei Ban
    University of Shiga Prefecture
  • William Colom-Montero
    Uppsala University
  • Shawn P. Devlin
    University of Montana
  • Martin T. Dokulil
    University of Innsbruck
  • Evelyn E. Gaiser
    Florida International University, Miami
  • K. David Hambright
    The University of Oklahoma
  • Dag O. Hessen
    University of Oslo
  • Scott N. Higgins
    IISD Experimental Lakes Area Inc
  • Klaus D. Johnk
    Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization
  • Wendel Keller
    Laurentian University
  • Lesley B. Knoll
    University of Minnesota
  • Peter R. Leavitt
    University of Regina, Saskatchewan
  • Fabio Lepori
    University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Southern Switzerland
  • Martin S. Luger
    Federal Agency for Water Management
  • Stephen C. Maberly
    Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Lancaster
  • Dorthe C. Mueller-Navarra
    University of Hamburg
  • Andrew M. Paterson
    Ontario Ministry of the Environment Conservation and Parks
  • Donald C. Pierson
    Uppsala University
  • David C. Richardson
    State University of New York at New Paltz
  • Michela Rogora
    CNR Water Research Institute (IRSA)
  • James A. Rusak
    Ontario Ministry of the Environment Conservation and Parks
  • Steven Sadro
    University of California, Davis
  • Nico Salmaso
    Fondazione Edmund Mach, Trento
  • Martin Schmid
    Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology
  • Eugene A. Silow
    Irkutsk State University
  • Ruben Sommaruga
    University of Innsbruck
  • Julio A. A. Stelzer
    Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Berlin
  • Dietmar Straile
    University of Konstanz
  • Wim Thiery
    ETH Zürich
  • Maxim A. Timofeyev
    Irkutsk State University
  • Piet Verburg
    National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Hamilton, New Zealand
  • Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer
    Uppsala University
  • Rita Adrian
    Leibniz Institute for Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Berlin
Lake surfaces are warming worldwide, raising concerns about lake organism responses to thermal habitat changes. Species may cope with temperature increases by shifting their seasonality or their depth to track suitable thermal habitats, but these responses may be constrained by ecological interactions, life histories or limiting resources. Here we use 32 million temperature measurements from 139 lakes to quantify thermal habitat change (percentage of non-overlap) and assess how this change is exacerbated by potential habitat constraints. Long-term temperature change resulted in an average 6.2% non-overlap between thermal habitats in baseline (1978–1995) and recent (1996–2013) time periods, with non-overlap increasing to 19.4% on average when habitats were restricted by season and depth. Tropical lakes exhibited substantially higher thermal non-overlap compared with lakes at other latitudes. Lakes with high thermal habitat change coincided with those having numerous endemic species, suggesting that conservation actions should consider thermal habitat change to preserve lake biodiversity.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)521-529
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume11
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 3 Jun 2021

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