Expectations in an open economy hyperinflation: evidence from Germany 1921-23
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In: Economics Letters, Vol. 192, 109176, 07.2020.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Expectations in an open economy hyperinflation: evidence from Germany 1921-23
AU - Reghezza, Alessio
AU - Seghezza, Elena
AU - Thornton, John
N1 - check 24 months embargo
PY - 2020/7
Y1 - 2020/7
N2 - We reconsider the Beladi et al. (1993) technique to measureexpectations in hyperinflation episodes by allowing money to besubstitutable with foreign assets as well as goods. We determine newcorrectness conditions for adaptive and rational expectations formationin this context and show that, taking into account these conditions, thedata for the German hyperinflation of the 1920s is consistent withrational expectation formation.
AB - We reconsider the Beladi et al. (1993) technique to measureexpectations in hyperinflation episodes by allowing money to besubstitutable with foreign assets as well as goods. We determine newcorrectness conditions for adaptive and rational expectations formationin this context and show that, taking into account these conditions, thedata for the German hyperinflation of the 1920s is consistent withrational expectation formation.
KW - Rational expectations
KW - Adaptive expectations
KW - Hyperinflation
KW - Germany
U2 - 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109176
DO - 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109176
M3 - Article
VL - 192
JO - Economics Letters
JF - Economics Letters
SN - 0165-1765
M1 - 109176
ER -