Gold stocks, the gold price and market timing
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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In: Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds, Vol. 17, 04.08.2011, p. 266-278.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Gold stocks, the gold price and market timing
AU - ap Gwilym, Owain
AU - Clare, Andrew
AU - Seaton, James
AU - Thomas, Stephen
PY - 2011/8/4
Y1 - 2011/8/4
N2 - We investigate the relationship between gold prices and gold equity index levels and consider whether this offers any explanatory power for the future returns of gold stocks. It is observed that a simple, well-specified model can explain movements in the stock prices of gold-producing firms. Using evidence from gold exchange-traded funds, we also show that investors’ market timing decisions have reduced their average returns from these instruments by over 1.5 per cent annually between 2005 and 2009
AB - We investigate the relationship between gold prices and gold equity index levels and consider whether this offers any explanatory power for the future returns of gold stocks. It is observed that a simple, well-specified model can explain movements in the stock prices of gold-producing firms. Using evidence from gold exchange-traded funds, we also show that investors’ market timing decisions have reduced their average returns from these instruments by over 1.5 per cent annually between 2005 and 2009
U2 - 10.1057/jdhf.2011.16
DO - 10.1057/jdhf.2011.16
M3 - Article
VL - 17
SP - 266
EP - 278
JO - Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds
JF - Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds
SN - 1753-9641
ER -