Inequitable gains and losses from conservation in a global biodiversity hotspot

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  • Philip J. Platts
    York University
  • Marije Schaafsma
    Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
  • Neil Burgess
    UN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC), Cambridge
  • Brendan Fisher
    The University of Vermont
  • Boniface Mbilinyi
    Sokoine University of Agriculture
  • Pantaleon Munishi
    Sokoine University of Agriculture
  • Taylor H. Ricketts
    The University of Vermont
  • Ruth D. Swetnam
    Staffordshire University
  • Antje Ahrends
    Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh
  • Biniam B. Ashagre
    Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge
  • Julian Bayliss
    Oxford Brookes University
  • Roy Gereau
    Missouri Botanical Garden
  • Jonathan M.H. Green
    York University
  • Rhys Green
    University of Cambridge
  • Lena Jeha
    Zoological Society of London
  • Simon L. Lewis
    University College London
  • Rob Marchant
    University of York
  • Andrew Marshall
    University of York
  • Sian Morse-Jones
    Collingwood Environmental Planning Limited, London
  • Shadrack Mwakalila
    University of Dar es Salaam
  • Marco A. Njana
    Tanzania Forest Services Agency
  • Deo D. Shirima
    Sokoine University of Agriculture
  • Simon Willcock
  • Andrew Balmford
    University of Cambridge
A billion rural people live near tropical forests. Urban populations need them for water, energy and timber. Global society benefits from climate regulation and knowledge embodied in tropical biodiversity. Ecosystem service valuations can incentivise conservation, but determining costs and benefits across multiple stakeholders and interacting services is complex and rarely attempted. We report on a 10-year study, unprecedented in detail and scope, to determine the monetary value implications of conserving forests and woodlands in Tanzania’s Eastern Arc Mountains. Across plausible ranges of carbon price, agricultural yield and discount rate, conservationdelivers net global benefits (+US$8.2B present value, 20-year central estimate). Crucially, however, net outcomes diverge widely across stakeholder groups. International stakeholders gain most from conservation (+US$10.1B), while local-rural communities bear substantial net costs (-US$1.9B), with greater inequities for more biologically important forests. Other Tanzanian stakeholders experience conflicting incentives: tourism, drinking water and climate regulation encourage conservation (+US$72M); logging, fuelwood and management costs encourage depletion (-US$148M). Substantial global investment in disaggregating and mitigating local costs (e.g., through boosting smallholder yields) is essential to equitably balance conservation and development objectives.

Keywords

  • biodiversity hotspot, distribution analysis, Opportunity costs, Conservation, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Tanzania
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages44
JournalEnvironmental and Resource Economics
Early online date17 Aug 2023
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 17 Aug 2023

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