Known unknowns: How much financial misconduct is detected and deterred?  

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Electronic versions

Documents

DOI

  • John Ashton
  • Tim Burnett
    Aston University
  • Ivan Diaz Rainey
    University of Otago
  • Peter Ormosi
    University of East Anglia
Have financial businesses changed their behaviour in the aftermath of global financial crisis? We address this question by introducing a new and more parsimonious method to quantify the level of financial misconduct and apply this to financial offences between 2004 and 2016. This exercise allows us to investigate whether Capture-Recapture methods can be deployed to handle problems of partial observability and how they compare to previous methods set out to achieve the same goal. In our two stage approach, first, we estimate the rate at which offending businesses are detected, then we look at how the number of detected offenders changed after 2010, and use these two layers of information to make inferences on the deterrent effect of financial regulation. Our results offer evidence that a drop in the number of detected offences post-global financial crisis was driven largely by improved deterrence.

Keywords

  • misconduct behaviour, deterrence
Original languageEnglish
Article number101389
JournalJournal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money
Volume74
Early online date21 Jul 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2021

Total downloads

No data available
View graph of relations