Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Stilling Accelerates Lake Thermal Responses to a Warming World
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In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, No. 21, 16.11.2019, p. 11983-11992.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Stilling Accelerates Lake Thermal Responses to a Warming World
AU - Woolway, R. Iestyn
AU - Merchant, Christopher J.
AU - Van Den Hoek, Jamon
AU - Azorin-Molina, Cesar
AU - Noges, Peeter
AU - Laas, Alo
AU - Mackay, Eleanor B.
AU - Jones, Ian D.
PY - 2019/11/16
Y1 - 2019/11/16
N2 - Climate change, in particular the increase in air temperature, has been shown to influence lake thermal dynamics, with climatic warming resulting in higher surface temperatures, stronger stratification, and altered mixing regimes. Less studied is the influence on lake thermal dynamics of atmospheric stilling, the decrease in near-surface wind speed observed in recent decades. Here we use a lake model to assess the influence of atmospheric stilling, on lake thermal dynamics across the Northern Hemisphere. From 1980 to 2016, lake thermal responses to warming have accelerated as a result of atmospheric stilling. Lake surface temperatures and thermal stability have changed at respective rates of 0.33 and 0.38 °C/decade, with atmospheric stilling contributing 15% and 27% of the calculated changes, respectively. Atmospheric stilling also resulted in a lengthening of stratification, contributing 23% of the calculated changes. Our results demonstrate that atmospheric stilling has influenced lake thermal responses to warming.
AB - Climate change, in particular the increase in air temperature, has been shown to influence lake thermal dynamics, with climatic warming resulting in higher surface temperatures, stronger stratification, and altered mixing regimes. Less studied is the influence on lake thermal dynamics of atmospheric stilling, the decrease in near-surface wind speed observed in recent decades. Here we use a lake model to assess the influence of atmospheric stilling, on lake thermal dynamics across the Northern Hemisphere. From 1980 to 2016, lake thermal responses to warming have accelerated as a result of atmospheric stilling. Lake surface temperatures and thermal stability have changed at respective rates of 0.33 and 0.38 °C/decade, with atmospheric stilling contributing 15% and 27% of the calculated changes, respectively. Atmospheric stilling also resulted in a lengthening of stratification, contributing 23% of the calculated changes. Our results demonstrate that atmospheric stilling has influenced lake thermal responses to warming.
KW - lake
KW - climate
KW - wind
U2 - 10.1029/2019GL082752
DO - 10.1029/2019GL082752
M3 - Article
VL - 46
SP - 11983
EP - 11992
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
SN - 0094-8276
IS - 21
ER -