On the M4.0 forecasting competition: Can you tell a 4.0 earthquake from a 3.0?

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  • Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
  • D.D. Thomakos
    University of Peloponneese
  • Illias Katsagounos
    University of Peloponneese
  • Waleed Alghassab
    University of Hail
Twenty years on from the publication of the results of the well-celebrated M3 competition, and right about the time we got used to the idea that there will be no more M-type competitions, the M4 competition came in 2019. A 4.0 earthquake is 10 times ‘stronger’ than a 3.0, and that was what M4.0 was aspiring to; mission accomplished?

Keywords

  • M4 competition, Hybrid Method, Combination, Benchmark, Intermittence
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)203-205
JournalInternational Journal of Forecasting
Volume36
Issue number1
Early online date3 Sept 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2020

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