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Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change

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Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. / Woolway, R. Iestyn; Sharma, Sapna; Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. et al.
In: Nature Communications, Vol. 12, 2318 (2021), 19.04.2021.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

HarvardHarvard

Woolway, RI, Sharma, S, Weyhenmeyer, GA, Debolskiy, A, Golub, M, Mercado-Bettin, D, Perroud, M, Stepanenko, V, Tan, Z, Grant, L, Ladwig, R, Mesman, J, Moore, TN, Shatwell, T, Vanderkelen, I, Austin, JA, DeGasperi, CL, Dokulil, M, La Fuente, S, Mackay, EB, Schladow, SG, Watanabe, S, Marce, R, Pierson, DC, Thiery, W & Jennings, E 2021, 'Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change', Nature Communications, vol. 12, 2318 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4

APA

Woolway, R. I., Sharma, S., Weyhenmeyer, G. A., Debolskiy, A., Golub, M., Mercado-Bettin, D., Perroud, M., Stepanenko, V., Tan, Z., Grant, L., Ladwig, R., Mesman, J., Moore, T. N., Shatwell, T., Vanderkelen, I., Austin, J. A., DeGasperi, C. L., Dokulil, M., La Fuente, S., ... Jennings, E. (2021). Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. Nature Communications, 12, Article 2318 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4

CBE

Woolway RI, Sharma S, Weyhenmeyer GA, Debolskiy A, Golub M, Mercado-Bettin D, Perroud M, Stepanenko V, Tan Z, Grant L, et al. 2021. Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. Nature Communications. 12:Article 2318 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4

MLA

Woolway, R. Iestyn et al. "Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change". Nature Communications. 2021. 12. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4

VancouverVancouver

Woolway RI, Sharma S, Weyhenmeyer GA, Debolskiy A, Golub M, Mercado-Bettin D et al. Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. Nature Communications. 2021 Apr 19;12:2318 (2021). doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4

Author

Woolway, R. Iestyn ; Sharma, Sapna ; Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. et al. / Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. In: Nature Communications. 2021 ; Vol. 12.

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change

AU - Woolway, R. Iestyn

AU - Sharma, Sapna

AU - Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A.

AU - Debolskiy, Andrey

AU - Golub, Malgorzata

AU - Mercado-Bettin, Daniel

AU - Perroud, Marjorie

AU - Stepanenko, Victor

AU - Tan, Zeli

AU - Grant, Luke

AU - Ladwig, Robert

AU - Mesman, Jorrit

AU - Moore, Tadhg N.

AU - Shatwell, Tom

AU - Vanderkelen, Inne

AU - Austin, Jay A.

AU - DeGasperi, Curtis L.

AU - Dokulil, Martin

AU - La Fuente, Sofia

AU - Mackay, Eleanor B.

AU - Schladow, S. Geoffrey

AU - Watanabe, Shohei

AU - Marce, Rafael

AU - Pierson, Don C.

AU - Thiery, Wim

AU - Jennings, Eleanor

PY - 2021/4/19

Y1 - 2021/4/19

N2 - One of the most important physical characteristics driving lifecycle events in lakes is stratification. Already subtle variations in the timing of stratification onset and break-up (phenology) are known to have major ecological effects, mainly by determining the availability of light, nutrients, carbon and oxygen to organisms. Despite its ecological importance, historic and future global changes in stratification phenology are unknown. Here, we used a lake-climate model ensemble and long-term observational data, to investigate changes in lake stratification phenology across the Northern Hemisphere from 1901 to 2099. Under the high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenario, stratification will begin 22.0 ± 7.0 days earlier and end 11.3 ± 4.7 days later by the end of this century. It is very likely that this 33.3 ± 11.7 day prolongation in stratification will accelerate lake deoxygenation with subsequent effects on nutrient mineralization and phosphorus release from lake sediments. Further misalignment of lifecycle events, with possible irreversible changes for lake ecosystems, is also likely.

AB - One of the most important physical characteristics driving lifecycle events in lakes is stratification. Already subtle variations in the timing of stratification onset and break-up (phenology) are known to have major ecological effects, mainly by determining the availability of light, nutrients, carbon and oxygen to organisms. Despite its ecological importance, historic and future global changes in stratification phenology are unknown. Here, we used a lake-climate model ensemble and long-term observational data, to investigate changes in lake stratification phenology across the Northern Hemisphere from 1901 to 2099. Under the high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenario, stratification will begin 22.0 ± 7.0 days earlier and end 11.3 ± 4.7 days later by the end of this century. It is very likely that this 33.3 ± 11.7 day prolongation in stratification will accelerate lake deoxygenation with subsequent effects on nutrient mineralization and phosphorus release from lake sediments. Further misalignment of lifecycle events, with possible irreversible changes for lake ecosystems, is also likely.

U2 - 10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4

DO - 10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4

M3 - Article

VL - 12

JO - Nature Communications

JF - Nature Communications

SN - 2041-1723

M1 - 2318 (2021)

ER -