Self-affinity in financial asset returns
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In: International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 24, 01.09.2012, p. 1-11.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Self-affinity in financial asset returns
AU - Goddard, J.A.
AU - Onali, E.
PY - 2012/9/1
Y1 - 2012/9/1
N2 - We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) log returns, for log returns under the alternative hypothesis that are self-affine and either long-range dependent, or drawn randomly from an L-stable distribution with infinite higher-order moments. The finite sample performance of estimators of the two forms of self-affinity is explored in a simulation study. In contrast to rescaled range analysis and other conventional estimation methods, the variant of fluctuation analysis that considers finite sample moments only is able to identify both forms of self-affinity. When log returns are self-affine and long-range dependent under the alternative hypothesis, however, rescaled range analysis has higher power than fluctuation analysis. The techniques are illustrated by means of an analysis of the daily log returns for the indices of 11 stock markets of developed countries. Several of the smaller stock markets by capitalization exhibit evidence of long-range dependence in log returns.
AB - We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) log returns, for log returns under the alternative hypothesis that are self-affine and either long-range dependent, or drawn randomly from an L-stable distribution with infinite higher-order moments. The finite sample performance of estimators of the two forms of self-affinity is explored in a simulation study. In contrast to rescaled range analysis and other conventional estimation methods, the variant of fluctuation analysis that considers finite sample moments only is able to identify both forms of self-affinity. When log returns are self-affine and long-range dependent under the alternative hypothesis, however, rescaled range analysis has higher power than fluctuation analysis. The techniques are illustrated by means of an analysis of the daily log returns for the indices of 11 stock markets of developed countries. Several of the smaller stock markets by capitalization exhibit evidence of long-range dependence in log returns.
U2 - 10.1016/j.irfa.2012.06.004
DO - 10.1016/j.irfa.2012.06.004
M3 - Article
VL - 24
SP - 1
EP - 11
JO - International Review of Financial Analysis
JF - International Review of Financial Analysis
SN - 1057-5219
ER -