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  • Louise B Firth
    Plymouth University
  • D Harris
    San Francisco State University
  • J. A. Blaze
    University of Georgia
  • M P Marzloff
    Institut français de recherche pour l’exploitation de la mer (IFREMER)
  • A Boye
    Institut français de recherche pour l’exploitation de la mer (IFREMER)
  • P I Miller
    Plymouth Marine Laboratory
  • A Curd
    Institut français de recherche pour l’exploitation de la mer (IFREMER)
  • J D Nunn
    National Museums Northern Ireland
  • N E O'Connor
    Trinity College Dublin
  • A M Power
    National University of Ireland, Galway
  • N Mieszkowska
    The Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom, Plymouth
  • R M O'Riordan
    University College Cork
  • M T Burrows
    Scottish Association for Marine Science
  • L M Bricheno
    National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool
  • A M Knights
    Plymouth University
  • F L D Nunes
    Institut français de recherche pour l’exploitation de la mer (IFREMER)
  • F Bordeyne
    Sorbonne Universités
  • Laura Bush
  • J E Byers
    University of Georgia
  • C David
    Institut français de recherche pour l’exploitation de la mer (IFREMER)
  • Andy Davies
  • S F Dubois
    Institut français de recherche pour l’exploitation de la mer (IFREMER)
  • H Edwards
    Environment and Rural Affairs, Belfast
  • A Foggo
    Plymouth University
  • L Grant
    National University of Ireland, Galway
  • Mattias Green
  • P Gribben
    University of New South Wales
  • F P Lima
    Universidade do Porto
  • D McGrath
    Galway-Mayo Institute of Technology
  • L M L J Noel
    Centre d’Etude et de Valorisation des Algues, Pleubian, France
  • R Seabra
    Universidade do Porto
  • C Simkanin
    Smithsonian Environmental Research Center, Maryland
  • M Vasquez
    University of Georgia
  • S J Hawkins
    Plymouth University
Aim To investigate some of the environmental variables underpinning the past and present distribution of an ecosystem engineer near its poleward range edge. Location >500 locations spanning >7,400 km around Ireland. Methods We collated past and present distribution records on a known climate change indicator, the reef‐forming worm Sabellaria alveolata (Linnaeus, 1767) in a biogeographic boundary region over 182 years (1836–2018). This included repeat sampling of 60 locations in the cooler 1950s and again in the warmer 2000s and 2010s. Using species distribution modelling, we identified some of the environmental drivers that likely underpin S. alveolata distribution towards the leading edge of its biogeographical range in Ireland. Results Through plotting 981 records of presence and absence, we revealed a discontinuous distribution with discretely bounded sub‐populations, and edges that coincide with the locations of tidal fronts. Repeat surveys of 60 locations across three time periods showed evidence of population increases, declines, local extirpation and recolonization events within the range, but no evidence of extensions beyond the previously identified distribution limits, despite decades of warming. At a regional scale, populations were relatively stable through time, but local populations in the cold Irish Sea appear highly dynamic and vulnerable to local extirpation risk. Contemporary distribution data (2013–2018) computed with modelled environmental data identified specific niche requirements which can explain the many distribution gaps, namely wave height, tidal amplitude, stratification index, then substrate type. Main conclusions In the face of climate warming, such specific niche requirements can create environmental barriers that may prevent species from extending beyond their leading edges. These boundaries may limit a species’ capacity to redistribute in response to global environmental change.

Keywords

  • biogenic habitat, biogeography, cold event, Irish Sea, macroecology, tidal front
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)668-683
JournalDiversity and Distributions
Volume27
Issue number4
Early online date2 Feb 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2021

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