The evolution and determinants of the non-performing loan burden in Italian banking

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We investigate the factors influencing Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) in the Italian banking sector from 2011 to 2017, a period marked by significant challenges. Using dynamic panel data methods and considering both bank-specific and macroeconomic variables, our empirical analysis reveals the complexity of NPL volumes in Italy. Our findings highlight that better capitalised banks tend to exhibit lower levels of NPLs, indicating reduced incentives for engaging in riskier practices. We document an inverse relationship between credit growth and NPLs, suggesting a potential outcome of demand-driven credit expansion. Additionally, the countercyclical nature of NPL stocks is evident, with banks’ NPL volumes influenced by the economic conditions of the country.

Keywords

  • Non-performing loans; Securitisation; Financial stability; Dynamic panel data methods; Italian banking reform
Original languageEnglish
Article number102306
JournalPacific-Basin Finance Journal
Volume84
Early online date20 Feb 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2024

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