Credit Rating Forecasting Using Machine Learning Techniques
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Research Anthology on Machine Learning Techniques, Methods, and Applications. United States: IGI Global, 2022. p. 734-752.
Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter
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TY - CHAP
T1 - Credit Rating Forecasting Using Machine Learning Techniques
AU - Wallis, Mark
AU - Kumar, Kuldeep
AU - Gepp, Adrian
PY - 2022/5/1
Y1 - 2022/5/1
N2 - Credit ratings are an important metric for business managers and a contributor to economic growth. Forecasting such ratings might be a suitable application of big data analytics. As machine learning is one of the foundations of intelligent big data analytics, this chapter presents a comparative analysis of traditional statistical models and popular machine learning models for the prediction of Moody's long-term corporate debt ratings. Machine learning techniques such as artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and random forests generally outperformed their traditional counterparts in terms of both overall accuracy and the Kappa statistic. The parametric models may be hindered by missing variables and restrictive assumptions about the underlying distributions in the data. This chapter reveals the relative effectiveness of non-parametric big data analytics to model a complex process that frequently arises in business, specifically determining credit ratings.*********************************************************************************************Chapter reprinted. Originally published in Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics edited by Zhaohao Sun. IGI Global, 2019*********************************************************************************************
AB - Credit ratings are an important metric for business managers and a contributor to economic growth. Forecasting such ratings might be a suitable application of big data analytics. As machine learning is one of the foundations of intelligent big data analytics, this chapter presents a comparative analysis of traditional statistical models and popular machine learning models for the prediction of Moody's long-term corporate debt ratings. Machine learning techniques such as artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and random forests generally outperformed their traditional counterparts in terms of both overall accuracy and the Kappa statistic. The parametric models may be hindered by missing variables and restrictive assumptions about the underlying distributions in the data. This chapter reveals the relative effectiveness of non-parametric big data analytics to model a complex process that frequently arises in business, specifically determining credit ratings.*********************************************************************************************Chapter reprinted. Originally published in Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics edited by Zhaohao Sun. IGI Global, 2019*********************************************************************************************
U2 - 10.4018/978-1-6684-6291-1.ch039
DO - 10.4018/978-1-6684-6291-1.ch039
M3 - Chapter
SN - 9781668462911
SP - 734
EP - 752
BT - Research Anthology on Machine Learning Techniques, Methods, and Applications
PB - IGI Global
CY - United States
ER -