Electronic versions

DOI

  • Elliot Gould
    University of Melbourne
  • Hannah S Fraser
    University of Melbourne
  • Timothy H Parker
    Whitman College
  • Shinichi Nakagawa
    University of New South Wales
  • Simon C Griffith
    Macquarie University, Sydney
  • Peter A Vesk
    University of Melbourne
  • Fiona Fidler
    University of Melbourne
  • Daniel G Hamilton
    Monash University
  • Robin N Abbey-Lee
    Länsstyrelsen Östergötland
  • Jessica K Abbott
    Lund University
  • Luis A Aguirre
    University of Massachusetts, MA
  • Carles Alcaraz
    Marine and Continental Waters
  • Irith Aloni
    Ben-Gurion University of the Negev
  • Drew Altschul
    University of Edinburgh
  • Kunal Arekar
    Indian Institute of Science
  • Jeff W Atkins
    Southern Research Station
  • Joe Atkinson
    Aarhus University
  • Christopher M Baker
    University of Melbourne
  • Meghan Barrett
    Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis
  • Kristian Bell
    Deakin University, Victoria
  • Suleiman Kehinde Bello
    King Abdulaziz University
  • Iván Beltrán
    Macquarie University, Sydney
  • Bernd J Berauer
    University of Hohenheim
  • Michael Grant Bertram
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Peter D Billman
    University of Connecticut
  • Charlie K Blake
    Southern Illinois University Edwardsville
  • Shannon Blake
    University of Guelph, Ontario
  • Louis Bliard
    University of Zürich
  • Andrea Bonisoli-Alquati
    California Polytechnic State University
  • Timothée Bonnet
    Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé
  • Camille Nina Marion Bordes
    Bar Ilan University
  • Aneesh P H Bose
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Thomas Botterill-James
    University of Tasmania
  • Melissa Anna Boyd
    Whitebark Institute
  • Sarah A Boyle
    Department of BiologyRhodes College
  • Tom Bradfer-Lawrence
    RSPB Centre for Conservation Science
  • Jennifer Bradham
    Wofford College
  • Jack A Brand
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Martin I Brengdahl
    Linköping University
  • Martin Bulla
    Czech University of Life Sciences Prague
  • Luc Bussière
    University of Gothenburg
  • Ettore Camerlenghi
    Monash University
  • Sara E Campbell
    University of Tennessee Knoxville
  • Leonardo L F Campos
    Departamento de Ecologia e Zoologia
  • Anthony Caravaggi
    University of South Wales
  • Pedro Cardoso
    CHANGE - Global Change and Sustainability Institute
  • Charles J W Carroll
    Colorado State University
  • Therese A Catanach
    Academy of Natural Sciences of Drexel University
  • Xuan Chen
    Salisbury University
  • Heung Ying Janet Chik
    University of Groningen
  • Emily Sarah Choy
    McMaster University
  • Alec Philip Christie
    University of Cambridge
  • Angela Chuang
    University of Florida
  • Amanda J Chunco
    Elon University
  • Bethany L Clark
    BirdLife International
  • Andrea Contina
    One West University Boulevard
  • Garth A Covernton
    University of Toronto
  • Murray P Cox
    University of Auckland
  • Kimberly A Cressman
    Catbird Stats
  • Marco Crotti
    Department of Fisheries, Animal and Veterinary Sciences, University of Rhode Island, 9 East Alumni Avenue, Kingston, RI 02881
  • Connor Davidson Crouch
    Northern Arizona University
  • Pietro B D'Amelio
    Max Planck Institute for Biological Intelligence
  • Alexandra Allison de Sousa
    Bath Spa University
  • Timm Fabian Döbert
    University of Alberta
  • Ralph Dobler
    Applied Zoology
  • Adam J Dobson
    University of Glasgow
  • Tim S Doherty
    The University of Sydney
  • Szymon Marian Drobniak
    Jagiellonian University
  • Alexandra Grace Duffy
    Brigham Young University, Hawaii.
  • Alison B Duncan
    University of Montpellier
  • Robert P Dunn
    University of South Carolina
  • Jamie Dunning
    Imperial College London
  • Trishna Dutta
    European Forest Institute
  • Luke Eberhart-Hertel
    Max Planck Institute for Biological Intelligence
  • Jared Alan Elmore
    Clemson University
  • Mahmoud Medhat Elsherif
    University of Birmingham
  • Holly M English
    University College Dublin
  • David C Ensminger
    San José State University
  • Ulrich Rainer Ernst
    University of Hohenheim
  • Stephen M Ferguson
    St. Norbert College
  • Esteban Fernandez-Juricic
    Purdue University
  • Thalita Ferreira-Arruda
    University of Göttingen
  • John Fieberg
    University of Minnesota-Twin Cities
  • Elizabeth A Finch
    CABI Science Centre
  • Evan A Fiorenza
    University of California
  • David N Fisher
    University of Aberdeen
  • Amélie Fontaine
    McGill University, Montreal
  • Wolfgang Forstmeier
    Max Planck Institute for Biological Intelligence
  • Yoan Fourcade
    Institute of Ecology and Environmental Sciences (iEES)
  • Graham S Frank
    Oregon State University
  • Cathryn A Freund
    Wake Forest University
  • Eduardo Fuentes-Lillo
    Laboratorio de Invasiones Biológicas (LIB)
  • Sara L Gandy
    University of Glasgow
  • Dustin G Gannon
    Oregon State University
  • Ana I García-Cervigón
    Rey Juan Carlos University
  • Alexis C Garretson
    Tufts University
  • Xuezhen Ge
    University of Guelph, Ontario
  • William L Geary
    Deakin University, Victoria
  • Charly Géron
    University of Rennes
  • Marc Gilles
    Bielefeld University
  • Antje Girndt
    Fakultät für Biologie
  • Daniel Gliksman
    Institute for Hydrology and Meteorology
  • Harrison B Goldspiel
    University of Maine
  • Dylan G E Gomes
    Boise State University, ID
  • Megan Kate Good
    The University of Melbourne
  • Sarah C Goslee
    Point Park University, PA
  • J Stephen Gosnell
    City University of New York, The Graduate Center
  • Eliza M Grames
    Binghamton University
  • Paolo Gratton
    Dipartimento di Biologia
  • Nicholas M Grebe
    University of Michigan
  • Skye M Greenler
    Oregon State University
  • Maaike Griffioen
    University of Antwerp
  • Daniel M Griffith
    Wesleyan University
  • Frances J Griffith
    Yale University, CT
  • Jake J Grossman
    St. Olaf College
  • Ali Güncan
    Ordu University
  • Stef Haesen
    Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences
  • James G Hagan
    University of Gothenburg
  • Heather A Hager
    Wilfrid Laurier University, Ontario
  • Jonathan Philo Harris
    Natural Resource Ecology and ManagementIowa State University
  • Natasha Dean Harrison
    University of Western Australia
  • Sarah Syedia Hasnain
    Middle East Technical University
  • Justin Chase Havird
    University of Texas, Austin
  • Andrew J Heaton
    Grand Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve
  • María Laura Herrera-Chaustre
    Universidad de Los Andes, Mérida
  • Tanner J Howard
    University of Melbourne
  • Bin-Yan Hsu
    University of Turku
  • Fabiola Iannarilli
    University of Minnesota-Twin Cities
  • Esperanza C Iranzo
    Instituto de Ciencia Animal. Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias
  • Erik N K Iverson
    The University of Texas at Austin
  • Saheed Olaide Jimoh
    University of Wyoming
  • Douglas H Johnson
    University of Minnesota-Twin Cities
  • Martin Johnsson
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Jesse Jorna
    Brigham Young University, Hawaii.
  • Tommaso Jucker
    University of Bristol
  • Martin Jung
    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
  • Ineta Kačergytė
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Oliver Kaltz
    University of Montpellier
  • Alison Ke
    University of California
  • Clint D Kelly
    Département des Sciences biologiques
  • Katharine Keogan
    University of Edinburgh
  • Friedrich Wolfgang Keppeler
    University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • Alexander K Killion
    Yale University, CT
  • Dongmin Kim
    University of Minnesota
  • David P Kochan
    Florida International University
  • Peter Korsten
    Aberystwyth University
  • Shan Kothari
    Institut de recherche en biologie végétale
  • Jonas Kuppler
    University of Ulm
  • Jillian M Kusch
    Memorial University of Newfoundland
  • Malgorzata Lagisz
    University of New South Wales
  • Kristen Marianne Lalla
    McGill University, Montreal
  • Daniel J Larkin
    University of Minnesota-Twin Cities
  • Courtney L Larson
    The Nature Conservancy
  • Katherine S Lauck
    University of California
  • M Elise Lauterbur
    University of Arizona, Tucson
  • Alan Law
    University of Stirling
  • Don-Jean Léandri-Breton
    McGill University, Montreal
  • Jonas J Lembrechts
    University of Antwerp
  • Kiara L'Herpiniere
    Macquarie University, Sydney
  • Eva J P Lievens
    University of Konstanz
  • Daniela Oliveira de Lima
    Campus Cerro Largo
  • Shane Lindsay
    University of Hull
  • Martin Luquet
    ECOBIOP
  • Ross MacLeod
    Liverpool John Moores University
  • Kirsty H Macphie
    University of Edinburgh
  • Kit Magellan
    Phnom Penh
  • Magdalena M Mair
    University of Bayreuth
  • Lisa E Malm
    Umea University
  • Stefano Mammola
    CNR Water Research Institute (IRSA)
  • Caitlin P Mandeville
    Norwegian University of Science and Technology
  • Michael Manhart
    Rutgers University Robert Wood Johnson Medical School
  • Laura Milena Manrique-Garzon
    Departamento de Ciencias Biológicas y Fisiológicas
  • Elina Mäntylä
    University of Turku
  • Philippe Marchand
    Institut de recherche sur les forêts
  • Benjamin Michael Marshall
    Faculty of Biological and Environmental SciencesUniversity of Stirling
  • Charles A Martin
    Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières
  • Dominic Andreas Martin
    University of Bern
  • Jake Mitchell Martin
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • April Robin Martinig
    University of New South Wales
  • Erin S McCallum
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Mark McCauley
    University of Florida
  • Sabrina M McNew
    University of Arizona, Tucson
  • Scott J Meiners
    Eastern Illinois University
  • Thomas Merkling
    Centre d'Investigations Clinique Plurithématique - Institut Lorrain du Coeur et des Vaisseaux
  • Marcus Michelangeli
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Maria Moiron
    Bielefeld University
  • Bruno Moreira
    Department of Ecology and global change
  • Jennifer Mortensen
    University of Arkansas
  • Benjamin Mos
    The University of Queensland
  • Taofeek Olatunbosun Muraina
    Oyo State College of Agriculture and Technology
  • Penelope Wrenn Murphy
    University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • Luca Nelli
    Department of Fisheries, Animal and Veterinary Sciences, University of Rhode Island, 9 East Alumni Avenue, Kingston, RI 02881
  • Petri Niemelä
    University of Helsinki
  • Josh Nightingale
    University of Iceland
  • Gustav Nilsonne
    Karolinska Institute, Stockholm
  • Sergio Nolazco
    Monash University
  • Sabine S Nooten
    University of Würzburg
  • Jessie Lanterman Novotny
    Hiram College
  • Agnes Birgitta Olin
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Chris L Organ
    Montana State University
  • Kate L Ostevik
    University of California
  • Facundo Xavier Palacio
    Sección Ornitología
  • Matthieu Paquet
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
  • Darren James Parker
  • David J Pascall
    University of Cambridge
  • Valerie J Pasquarella
    Harvard University
  • John Harold Paterson
    University of Gothenburg
  • Ana Payo-Payo
    Universidad Simon Bolivar, Caracas
  • Karen Marie Pedersen
    Department of Biology
  • Grégoire Perez
    ASTRE
  • Kayla I Perry
    The Ohio State University
  • Patrice Pottier
    University of New South Wales
  • Michael J Proulx
    University of Bath
  • Raphaël Proulx
    Chaire de recherche en intégrité écologique
  • Jessica L Pruett
    University of Southern Mississippi
  • Veronarindra Ramananjato
    University of California
  • Finaritra Tolotra Randimbiarison
    Mention Zoologie et Biodiversité Animale
  • Onja H Razafindratsima
    University of California
  • Diana J Rennison
    University of California
  • Federico Riva
    Biodiversity Division Institute for Agro‐Environmental Sciences NARO Tsukuba‐shi Japan
  • Sepand Riyahi
    University of Vienna
  • Michael James Roast
    University of Veterinary Medicine Vienna
  • Felipe Pereira Rocha
    The University of Hong Kong
  • Dominique G Roche
    Institut de Biologie de l’ENS (IBENS)
  • Cristian Román-Palacios
    University of Arizona, Tucson
  • Michael S Rosenberg
    Virginia Commonwealth University
  • Jessica Ross
    University of Wisconsin
  • Freya E Rowland
    Yale University, CT
  • Deusdedith Rugemalila
    Florida International University
  • Avery L Russell
    Missouri State University
  • Suvi Ruuskanen
    University of Jyväskylä
  • Patrick Saccone
    OeAW (Austrian Academy of Sciences)
  • Asaf Sadeh
    Agricultural Research Organization (Volcani Institute)
  • Stephen M Salazar
    Bielefeld University
  • Kris Sales
    Office for National Statistics
  • Pablo Salmón
    Institute of Avian Research ‘Vogelwarte Helgoland’
  • Alfredo Sánchez-Tójar
    Bielefeld University
  • Leticia Pereira Santos
    Department of Soil Ecology
  • Francesca Santostefano
    University of Exeter
  • Hayden T Schilling
    University of New South Wales
  • Marcus Schmidt
    Research Data Management
  • Tim Schmoll
    Bielefeld University
  • Adam C Schneider
    University of Wisconsin-La Crosse
  • Allie E Schrock
    Duke University
  • Julia Schroeder
    Imperial College London
  • Nicolas Schtickzelle
    Earth and Life Institute
  • Nick L Schultz
    Federation University Australia
  • Drew A Scott
    Department of Agriculture- Agricultural Research Service
  • Michael Peter Scroggie
    Arthur Rylah Institute for Environmental Research
  • Julie Teresa Shapiro
    University of Lyon - French Agency for Food
  • Nitika Sharma
    University of California
  • Caroline L Shearer
    Duke University
  • Diego Simón
    Departamento de Zoología, Facultad de Ciencias
  • Michael I Sitvarin
    Cascadia Research, Washington
  • Fabrício Luiz Skupien
    Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia
  • Heather Lea Slinn
    Vive Crop Protection
  • Grania Polly Smith
    University of Cambridge
  • Jeremy A Smith
    British Trust for Ornithology
  • Rahel Sollmann
    Oregon State University
  • Kaitlin Stack Whitney
    Rochester Institute of Technology
  • Shannon Michael Still
    Nomad Ecology
  • Erica F Stuber
    Utah State University
  • Guy F Sutton
    Rhodes University
  • Ben Swallow
    University of St. Andrews
  • Conor Claverie Taff
    Cornell University
  • Elina Takola
    Department of Computational Landscape Ecology
  • Andrew J Tanentzap
    Nottingham Trent University
  • Rocío Tarjuelo
    Instituto Universitario de Investigación en Gestión Forestal Sostenible (iuFOR)
  • Richard J Telford
    University of Bergen
  • Christopher J Thawley
    University of Rhode Island
  • Hugo Thierry
    McGill University, Montreal
  • Jacqueline Thomson
    University of Guelph, Ontario
  • Svenja Tidau
    The Whitney Laboratory for Marine Bioscience and Sea Turtle Hospital, University of Florida, St. Augustine, FL, USA.. Department of Biological Sciences, School of Natural Sciences, Faculty of Science and Engineering, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland.University of Plymouth
  • Emily M Tompkins
    Wake Forest University
  • Claire Marie Tortorelli
    University of California
  • Andrew Trlica
    North Carolina State University
  • Biz R Turnell
    ZSL Institute of Zoology, London.
  • Lara Urban
    Helmholtz Zentrum Hereon
  • Stijn Van de Vondel
    University of Antwerp
  • Jessica Eva Megan van der Wal
    University of Cape Town
  • Jens Van Eeckhoven
    University College London
  • Francis van Oordt
    McGill University, Montreal
  • K Michelle Vanderwel
    University of Saskatchewan
  • Mark C Vanderwel
    University of Regina, Saskatchewan
  • Karen J Vanderwolf
    University of Waterloo, Canada
  • Juliana Vélez
    University of Minnesota-Twin Cities
  • Diana Carolina Vergara-Florez
    University of Michigan
  • Brian C Verrelli
    University of Antwerp
  • Marcus Vinícius Vieira
    Dept. Ecologia
  • Nora Villamil
    Lothian Analytical Services
  • Valerio Vitali
    University of Muenster
  • Julien Vollering
    Western Norway University of Applied Sciences
  • Jeffrey Walker
    University of Southern Maine
  • Xanthe J Walker
    Northern Arizona University
  • Jonathan A Walter
    University of California
  • Pawel Waryszak
    University of Southern Queensland
  • Ryan J Weaver
    Iowa State University
  • Ronja E M Wedegärtner
    Fram Project AS
  • Daniel L Weller
    Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
  • Shannon Whelan
    McGill University, Montreal
  • Rachel Louise White
    Department of Chemistry, Amity School of Applied Sciences Lucknow, Amity University, Noida, 226028, Uttar Pradesh, IndiaUniversity of Brighton
  • David William Wolfson
    University of Minnesota-Twin Cities
  • Andrew Wood
    University of Oxford
  • Scott W Yanco
    University of Colorado
  • Jian D L Yen
    Arthur Rylah Institute for Environmental Research
  • Casey Youngflesh
    Michigan State University
  • Giacomo Zilio
    University of Montpellier
  • Cédric Zimmer
    Laboratoire d'Ethologie Expérimentale et Comparée
  • Gregory Mark Zimmerman
    Lake Superior State University
  • Rachel A Zitomer
    Oregon State University

Although variation in effect sizes and predicted values among studies of similar phenomena is inevitable, such variation far exceeds what might be produced by sampling error alone. One possible explanation for variation among results is differences among researchers in the decisions they make regarding statistical analyses. A growing array of studies has explored this analytical variability in different fields and has found substantial variability among results despite analysts having the same data and research question. Many of these studies have been in the social sciences, but one small "many analyst" study found similar variability in ecology. We expanded the scope of this prior work by implementing a large-scale empirical exploration of the variation in effect sizes and model predictions generated by the analytical decisions of different researchers in ecology and evolutionary biology. We used two unpublished datasets, one from evolutionary ecology (blue tit, Cyanistes caeruleus, to compare sibling number and nestling growth) and one from conservation ecology (Eucalyptus, to compare grass cover and tree seedling recruitment). The project leaders recruited 174 analyst teams, comprising 246 analysts, to investigate the answers to prespecified research questions. Analyses conducted by these teams yielded 141 usable effects (compatible with our meta-analyses and with all necessary information provided) for the blue tit dataset, and 85 usable effects for the Eucalyptus dataset. We found substantial heterogeneity among results for both datasets, although the patterns of variation differed between them. For the blue tit analyses, the average effect was convincingly negative, with less growth for nestlings living with more siblings, but there was near continuous variation in effect size from large negative effects to effects near zero, and even effects crossing the traditional threshold of statistical significance in the opposite direction. In contrast, the average relationship between grass cover and Eucalyptus seedling number was only slightly negative and not convincingly different from zero, and most effects ranged from weakly negative to weakly positive, with about a third of effects crossing the traditional threshold of significance in one direction or the other. However, there were also several striking outliers in the Eucalyptus dataset, with effects far from zero. For both datasets, we found substantial variation in the variable selection and random effects structures among analyses, as well as in the ratings of the analytical methods by peer reviewers, but we found no strong relationship between any of these and deviation from the meta-analytic mean. In other words, analyses with results that were far from the mean were no more or less likely to have dissimilar variable sets, use random effects in their models, or receive poor peer reviews than those analyses that found results that were close to the mean. The existence of substantial variability among analysis outcomes raises important questions about how ecologists and evolutionary biologists should interpret published results, and how they should conduct analyses in the future.

Keywords

  • Ecology/methods, Biological Evolution, Animals, Passeriformes/physiology, Eucalyptus/growth & development
Original languageEnglish
Article number35
JournalBMC Biology
Volume23
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 6 Feb 2025
View graph of relations