Sovereign rating actions and the implied volatility of stock index options
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In: International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 34, 05.06.2014, p. 101-113.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Sovereign rating actions and the implied volatility of stock index options
AU - Tran, Vu
AU - Alsakka, R.
AU - ap Gwilym, O.M.
PY - 2014/6/5
Y1 - 2014/6/5
N2 - This paper examines the interaction between the equity index option market and sovereign credit ratings. SandP and Moody's signals exhibit strong impact on option-implied volatility while Fitch's influence is less significant. Moody's downgrades reduce the market uncertainty over the rated countries' equity markets. Strong causal relationships are found between movements in the option-implied volatility and all credit signals released by SandP and Fitch, but only actual rating changes by Moody's, implying differences in rating agencies' policies. The presence of additional ratings tends to reducemarket uncertainty. The findings highlight the importance of rating information in the price discovery process and offer policy implications
AB - This paper examines the interaction between the equity index option market and sovereign credit ratings. SandP and Moody's signals exhibit strong impact on option-implied volatility while Fitch's influence is less significant. Moody's downgrades reduce the market uncertainty over the rated countries' equity markets. Strong causal relationships are found between movements in the option-implied volatility and all credit signals released by SandP and Fitch, but only actual rating changes by Moody's, implying differences in rating agencies' policies. The presence of additional ratings tends to reducemarket uncertainty. The findings highlight the importance of rating information in the price discovery process and offer policy implications
U2 - 10.1016/j.irfa.2014.05.010
DO - 10.1016/j.irfa.2014.05.010
M3 - Article
VL - 34
SP - 101
EP - 113
JO - International Review of Financial Analysis
JF - International Review of Financial Analysis
SN - 1057-5219
ER -