The credit signals that matter most for sovereign bond spreads with split rating
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In: Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 53, 05.2015, p. 174-191.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The credit signals that matter most for sovereign bond spreads with split rating
AU - Vu, Huong
AU - Alsakka, R.
AU - ap Gwilym, O.M.
PY - 2015/5
Y1 - 2015/5
N2 - We investigate how split ratings influence the information content of credit rating events on the sovereign bond markets during 2000–2012. We find that market reactions are far stronger for negative events on the inferior ratings and for positive events on the superior ratings. Such evidence suggests aversion of market participants to the ambiguity inherent in split ratings. Sovereign credit spreads are particularly responsive to negative events by SandP (the more conservative agency in the sample). Moody's positive events have a significant impact only when Moody's assigns superior pre-event ratings compared with SandP. There is little evidence that split ratings involving Fitch have any market implication.
AB - We investigate how split ratings influence the information content of credit rating events on the sovereign bond markets during 2000–2012. We find that market reactions are far stronger for negative events on the inferior ratings and for positive events on the superior ratings. Such evidence suggests aversion of market participants to the ambiguity inherent in split ratings. Sovereign credit spreads are particularly responsive to negative events by SandP (the more conservative agency in the sample). Moody's positive events have a significant impact only when Moody's assigns superior pre-event ratings compared with SandP. There is little evidence that split ratings involving Fitch have any market implication.
U2 - 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.01.005
DO - 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.01.005
M3 - Article
VL - 53
SP - 174
EP - 191
JO - Journal of International Money and Finance
JF - Journal of International Money and Finance
SN - 0261-5606
ER -