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  • Siobhan Vye
  • Stephanie Dickens
    Newcastle University
  • Leoni C Adams
    The Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom, Plymouth
  • Katrin Bohn
    University of Portsmouth
  • Jade Chenery
    Newcastle University
  • Nicola Dobson
    University of Hull
  • Ruth E. Dunn
    University of Hull
  • Hannah Earp
  • Megan Evans
    EarthWatch, Oxford, UK
  • Charlotte Foster
    Newcastle University
  • Hannah Grist
    Scottish Association of Marine Science, Oban
  • Ben Holt
    The Laboratory, Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom
  • Sue Hull
    University of Hull
  • Stuart Jenkins
  • Peter Lamont
    Scottish Association of Marine Science, Oban
  • Sarah Long
    University of Portsmouth
  • Nova Mieszkowska
    The Laboratory, Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom
  • Justine Millard
    Marine Conservation Society, Ross‐on‐Wye
  • Zoe Morrall
    University of Portsmouth
  • Kathryn Pack
    The Laboratory, Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom
  • Hannah Parry-Wilson
    The Laboratory, Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom
  • Jacqueline Pocklington
    Newcastle University
  • Jane Pottas
    University of Hull
  • Leonie Richardson
    Marine Conservation Society, Ross‐on‐Wye
  • Abigail Scott
    University of Portsmouth
  • Heather Sugden
    Newcastle University
  • Gordon Watson
    University of Portsmouth
  • Victoria West
  • Debbie Winton
    EarthWatch, Oxford, UK
  • Jane Delaney
    Newcastle University
  • Michael T. Burrows
    Scottish Association for Marine Science
Aim
Understanding patterns in the abundance of species across thermal ranges can give useful insights into the potential impacts of climate change. The abundant‐centre hypothesis suggests that species will reach peak abundance at the centre of their thermal range where conditions are optimal, but evidence in support of this hypothesis is mixed and limited in geographical and taxonomic scope. We tested the applicability of the abundant‐centre hypothesis across a range of intertidal organisms using a large, citizen science‐generated data set.

Location
UK.

Methods
Species' abundance records were matched with their location within their thermal range. Patterns in abundance distribution for individual species, and across aggregated species abundances, were analysed using Kruskal–Wallis tests and quantile general additive models.

Results
Individually, invertebrate species showed increasing abundances in the cooler half of the thermal range and decreasing abundances in the warmer half of the thermal range. The overall shape for aggregated invertebrate species abundances reflected a broad peak, with a cool‐skewed maximum abundance. Algal species showed little evidence for an abundant‐centre distribution individually, but overall the aggregated species abundances suggested a hump‐backed abundance distribution.

Main Conclusions
Our study follows others in showing mixed support for the abundant‐centre hypothesis at an individual species level, but demonstrates an increased predictability in species responses when an aggregated overall response is considered.

Keywords

  • abundant-centre hypothesis, algae, citizen science, intertidal, invertebrates, thermal niche
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1357-1365
JournalDiversity and Distributions
Volume26
Issue number10
Early online date24 Jun 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2020

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