Regulating rating agencies: A conservative behavioural change

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We investigate whether the European regulatory reforms of the credit rating industry have been successful in improving the quality of financial institutions’ credit ratings. A shift to more conservative rating behaviour rather than rating quality improvement is identified, which is attributable to increased regulatory scrutiny. This change leads to a reduction in rating inflation and an increase in the number of unwarranted downgrades and false rating warnings in the post-regulatory period. A significant decrease (increase) in the informativeness of rating downgrades (upgrades) is evident. Our findings contrast with prior evidence for US corporates where reputational effects dominated.

Keywords

  • EU regulation of rating agencies, Rating quality, Rating conservatism, Disciplining hypothesis, Reputation hypothesis
Original languageEnglish
Article number100999
JournalJournal of Financial Stability
Volume60
Early online date18 Mar 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2022

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