The Impact of Regulatory Reforms on European Bank Behaviour: A Dynamic Structural Estimation
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In: European Economic Review, Vol. 150, 104280, 11.2022.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The Impact of Regulatory Reforms on European Bank Behaviour: A Dynamic Structural Estimation
AU - Jones, Laurence
AU - Alsakka, Rasha
AU - ap Gwilym, Owain
AU - Mantovan, Noemi
PY - 2022/11
Y1 - 2022/11
N2 - This paper develops a dynamic structural model of bank behaviour. Banks can vary their financing structure, business model and decide on rating solicitation, in the presence of costly debt, corporation tax, insolvency costs and convex adjustment costs. The model is then simulated to examine the impact of regulation on banks’ behaviour. A bail-in regime leads to reduced bank lending activity, while having little impact on bank insolvency rates. Stringent capital requirements reduce bank insolvency rates in a crisis period, while mitigating the reduction in lending activity due to an increased uptake in marginal investments. More lenient credit ratings are associated with increased bank failures. These findings offer wide-ranging implications for policy makers and the banking industry.
AB - This paper develops a dynamic structural model of bank behaviour. Banks can vary their financing structure, business model and decide on rating solicitation, in the presence of costly debt, corporation tax, insolvency costs and convex adjustment costs. The model is then simulated to examine the impact of regulation on banks’ behaviour. A bail-in regime leads to reduced bank lending activity, while having little impact on bank insolvency rates. Stringent capital requirements reduce bank insolvency rates in a crisis period, while mitigating the reduction in lending activity due to an increased uptake in marginal investments. More lenient credit ratings are associated with increased bank failures. These findings offer wide-ranging implications for policy makers and the banking industry.
KW - Discrete Choice Dynamic Programming (DCDP)
KW - Bank behaviour
KW - Bail-in regime
KW - Basel III regulation
KW - Credit rating regulation
U2 - 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104280
DO - 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104280
M3 - Article
VL - 150
JO - European Economic Review
JF - European Economic Review
SN - 0014-2921
M1 - 104280
ER -