Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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In: Global Environmental Change, 09.2023.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures
AU - Hyejin, Kim
AU - Peterson, Garry
AU - Cheung, William
AU - Ferrier, Simon
AU - Alkemade, Rob
AU - Arneth, Almut
AU - Kuiper, Jan
AU - Okayasu, Sana
AU - Pereira, Laura M.
AU - Acosta, Lilibeth A.
AU - Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca
AU - Belder, Eefje Den
AU - Eddy, Tyler D.
AU - Johnson, Justin
AU - Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia
AU - Kok, Marcel
AU - Leadley, Paul
AU - Leclere, David
AU - Lundquist, Carolyn J.
AU - Rondsinini, Carlo
AU - Scholes, Robert J.
AU - Schoolenberg, Machteld
AU - Shin, Yunne-Jai
AU - Stehfest, Elke
AU - Stephenson, Fabrice
AU - Visconti, Piero
AU - Van Vuuren, P. Detlef
AU - Wabnitz, Colette C.
AU - Alava, Juan Jose
AU - Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon
AU - Davies, Kathryn K.
AU - Gasalla, Maria A.
AU - Halouani, Ghassen
AU - Harfoot, Michael B.J.
AU - Hashimoto, Shizuka
AU - Hickler, Thomas
AU - Hirsch, Tim
AU - Kolomytsev, Grigory
AU - Miller, Brian
AU - Ohashi, Haruka
AU - Palomo, Maria Gabriela
AU - Popp, Alexander
AU - Remme, Roy Paco
AU - Saito, Osamu
AU - Sumaila, Rashid
AU - Willcock, Simon
AU - Pereira, Henrique
PY - 2023/9
Y1 - 2023/9
N2 - The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, Nature as Culture. In this paper, we describe how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support policy. First, it describes key building blocks of the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature and the frontier representing their improvements, ii) incorporating mutually reinforcing and key feedbacks of social-ecological systems, iii) indicators describing the evolution of socialecological systems. We then present three approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios in review, screening and design phases of policy processes. This paper seeks to facilitate the integration of relational values of nature in models and to strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, nature’s contributions to people andquality of life.
AB - The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, Nature as Culture. In this paper, we describe how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support policy. First, it describes key building blocks of the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature and the frontier representing their improvements, ii) incorporating mutually reinforcing and key feedbacks of social-ecological systems, iii) indicators describing the evolution of socialecological systems. We then present three approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios in review, screening and design phases of policy processes. This paper seeks to facilitate the integration of relational values of nature in models and to strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, nature’s contributions to people andquality of life.
KW - scenario analysis
KW - biodiversity
KW - conservation
KW - Sustainability
KW - values
KW - futures
U2 - 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102681
DO - 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102681
M3 - Article
JO - Global Environmental Change
JF - Global Environmental Change
SN - 0959-3780
ER -