Amazon forest biogeography predicts resilience and vulnerability to drought

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DOI

  • Shuli Chen
    University of Arizona, Tucson
  • Scott C. Stark
  • Antonio Donato Nobre
    National Institute for Space Research
  • Luz Adriana Cuartas
    Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN); São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil
  • Diogo de Jesus Amore
    Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN); São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil
  • Natalia Restrepo-Coupe
    University of Arizona, Tucson
  • Marielle Smith
    Michigan State University
  • Rutuja Chitra-Tarak
    Los Alamos National Laboratory
  • Hongseok Ko
    University of Arizona, Tucson
  • Bruce Nelson
    National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), Manaus
  • Scott R. Saleska
    University of Arizona, Tucson
Amazonia contains the most extensive tropical forests on Earth, but Amazon carbon sinks of atmospheric CO2 are declining, as deforestation and climate-change-associated droughts1,2,3,4 threaten to push these forests past a tipping point towards collapse5,6,7,8. Forests exhibit complex drought responses, indicating both resilience (photosynthetic greening) and vulnerability (browning and tree mortality), that are difficult to explain by climate variation alone9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17. Here we combine remotely sensed photosynthetic indices with ground-measured tree demography to identify mechanisms underlying drought resilience/vulnerability in different intact forest ecotopes18,19 (defined by water-table depth, soil fertility and texture, and vegetation characteristics). In higher-fertility southern Amazonia, drought response was structured by water-table depth, with resilient greening in shallow-water-table forests (where greater water availability heightened response to excess sunlight), contrasting with vulnerability (browning and excess tree mortality) over deeper water tables. Notably, the resilience of shallow-water-table forest weakened as drought lengthened. By contrast, lower-fertility northern Amazonia, with slower-growing but hardier trees (or, alternatively, tall forests, with deep-rooted water access), supported more-drought-resilient forests independent of water-table depth. This functional biogeography of drought response provides a framework for conservation decisions and improved predictions of heterogeneous forest responses to future climate changes, warning that Amazonia’s most productive forests are also at greatest risk, and that longer/more frequent droughts are undermining multiple ecohydrological strategies and capacities for Amazon forest resilien
Original languageEnglish
JournalNature
Early online date19 Jun 2024
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 19 Jun 2024
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